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Revised Forecast Sees More Hurricanes Coming

NU Online News Service, Aug. 6, 3:35 p.m. EDT

The London-based weather forecast group for an insurance brokerage said its latest storm outlook predicts greatly increased activity with one more hurricane hitting the United States.

The announcement came from Tropical Storm Risk, a consortium of experts on insurance, risk management and seasonal climate forecasting led by the Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR said there prediction is for two hurricane strikes a number that includes Hurricane Dolly, which hit Texas last month.

Based on current and projected climate signals TSR said it predicts both Atlantic basin and U.S. landfalling hurricane activity will be 90 percent above the long-term (1950-2007) norm. This compares to 35 percent above-norm predictions the group issued July 4.

TSR said the forecast has risen due to the establishment in July of tropospheric wind patterns in the lowest atmospheric region—an event which favors increased hurricane activity.

It explained that once these patterns form, they tend to persist through the main hurricane months of August and September.

The consortium also predicted a 97 percent probability of an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season, a 3 percent probability of a near-normal season and a negligible chance of a below-normal season.

The meteorologists said they now foresee 18 tropical storms for the Atlantic basin as a whole, with nine of these being hurricanes and four or five of these hurricanes being intense in category. This compares to long-term norm values of ten, six and three, respectively.

TSR forecasted a 91 percent probability of above-normal U.S. landfalling hurricane activity, an 8 percent likelihood of a near-normal season and only a 1 percent chance of a below-normal season.

The two hurricanes to hit the United States will be among five tropical storm strikes, TSR said. One hurricane strike is predicted on the Caribbean Lesser Antilles.

If the forecast comes true, TSR said the total of 18 tropical storms would equal the third highest total recorded in a North Atlantic season since 1950.

Professor Mark Saunders, the TSR lead scientist and head of Weather and Climate Extremes at the Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre at University College London, gave a number of reasons a very active hurricane season is expected.

He mentioned:

  • Weaker than normal trade winds that will permit more and stronger storms to spin up.
  • Temperature of the sea waters between West Africa and the Caribbean are likely to be slightly warmer than normal, thereby providing extra heat and moisture to help power the development of storms within the hurricane main development region.
  • Tropospheric winds over North America, the east Pacific and the North Atlantic that are favorable for steering developing Atlantic hurricanes toward U.S. shores during August and September.
  • Historical precedents for all years since 1950 with very active June/July hurricane activity, as has been the case this year, have subsequently been very active for seasonal hurricane activity.

TSR forecasts are online at www.tropicalstormrisk.com

 

June 26, 2008
Mercury Insurance To Pay $250,000 in California Claims Handling Settlement. California Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner announced that Mercury Insurance Group will pay a $250,000 settlement for alleged claims handling violations.

"I'm pleased that Mercury has agreed to this settlement, which demonstrates that claims handling violations will not be tolerated in California," Poizner said. Mercury recently announced that it is reducing rates for policyholders, and I am hopeful that the company will continue to put its customers first. The Department of Insurance continues to make sure that all insurance companies are obeying the laws in place to protect consumers. "

The California Department of Insurance (CDI) conducted a review of consumer complaints filed with the Department against Mercury Insurance, Mercury Casualty and California Automobile Insurance Companies, collectively known as Mercury Insurance Group. Of the 121 files reviewed, a total of 258 violations were discovered to have occurred from January 2004 through December 2005. The violations involved several of the company's claims-handling practices, including unreasonable delays in affirming or denying coverage and issuing claim payments.

Mercury Insurance Group will pay the DOI $250,000 in monetary penalties, as well as $50,000 for CDI's legal fees and enforcement costs associated with the case. Additionally, if Mercury Insurance does not improve its performance standards -- as evidenced by a 15 percent reduction in justified complaints -- by Dec. 31, 2008, it may be ordered to pay an additional $200,000, the DOI said.

For more information, visit http://www.insurance.ca.gov/0400-news/0100-press-releases/0070-2008/upload/MercurycasesStipWaiver.pdf and http://www.insurance.ca.gov/0400-news/0100-press-releases/0070-2008/upload/MercurycasesStipWaiver.pdf.

For Release: April 28, 2008
Insurance Commissioner Poizner Protects Residents' Options to Replace Their Homes After a Disaster. Legal Opinion Puts Insurance Industry on Notice That Disaster Survivors Can Buy or Rebuild Homes in New Locations.

SAN DIEGO ― Today Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner announced that the California Department of Insurance (CDI) has issued a legal opinion supporting homeowners' rights to purchase an already built home at a new location using replacement cost insurance coverage and to replace a home in a new location using an extended or guaranteed replacement cost policy.

The legal opinion, formally issued at the request of San Diego Councilmember Brian Maienschein, clarifies current California law and serves as notice to insurers that CDI expects homeowners' rights to be honored.

"Homeowners should know they have legally protected options when putting their lives back together during a very difficult and taxing time," stated Commissioner Poizner. "After a disaster, homeowners have an absolute right to re-establish their lives elsewhere if they so desire - either by rebuilding their homes or buying other homes."

CDI's legal opinion (attached) clarifies the application of California Insurance Code Section 2015.5(c), which was enacted in 2004 by Assembly Bill 2199 (Kehoe), part of the CDI-sponsored Homeowner Bill of Rights born from lessons learned in the 2003 Southern California wildfires. Read more...

March 2007
QCMC Migrates clients from GMAC-ResCap
GMAC-ResCap announces their intent to exit the Hazard Insurance Claims business. QCMC is formed the same month and clients and staff migrate from GMAC-ResCap to QCMC.

June 1, 2007
QCMC Principle works 2003 Southern California Wildfires
Ron Reitz and his team worked with homeowners whose homes were destroyed by the catastrophic fires. One client provided the following feedback: “The caring, courteous & professional service we received makes us very grateful. Our hats are off to [this team]. They are all class people. If I were starting a company, no matter what type, I would try and hire them…….as partners.”
– D. Williams

August 2005
Katrina Homeowners Assisted
Under the leadership of Ron Reitz, GMAC-ResCap assisted thousands of homeowners affected by hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma. Thousands of customers of Homecomings Financial and GMAC Mortgage received hands-on adjusting services and guidance in resolving their hazard insurance claims. Mr. Reitz and his team traveled to Louisiana and Mississippi to meet with borrowers and homeowners in order to provide direct assistance and see the vast destruction first-hand.

 

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Revised Forecast Sees More Hurricanes Coming
The London-based weather forecast group for an insurance brokerage said its latest storm outlook predicts greatly increased activity with one more hurricane hitting the United States. (Read more)

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The Insurance Crisis is Phony. Read the article at: www.consumerwatchdog.org

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